Oracle Expected Wins
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This article is incomplete Be wary of placing too much stock in the information below, as more is required to give a full overview of this topic |
For each game played, up to total n:
- Take the pythagorean offense and defense -- pyOff(x) and pyDef(x) -- of each team
- Adjusted values are calculated thus:
- Determine an exponent (for initial tests, use 3.15)
- Take the total number of points scored/allowed per game, to the given exponent
- Divide it by the total number of points allowed/scored per game, to the given exponent
- Plug these values into the pythagorean expectation formula
- Using an exponent of 10.37 and the number of games played to that point
- Call this pyWins
Oracle Expected Wins = mean of the array pyWins(n)